Proposal of a predictive model for the attack in women’s football depending on the part of the match

  1. Maneiro, Rubén 2
  2. Losada, José Luís 4
  3. Ardá, Antonio 3
  4. Iván-Baragaño, Iyán 1
  1. 1 Faculty of Sports Sciences, European University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain
  2. 2 Department of Science of Physical Activity and Sport, Pontifical University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain
  3. 3 Department of Physical and Sport Education, University of A Coruña, A Coruña, Spain
  4. 4 Department of Social Psychology and Quantitative Psychology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
Revista:
Kinesiology

ISSN: 1848-638X 1331-1441

Año de publicación: 2023

Volumen: 55

Número: 1

Páginas: 30-37

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.26582/K.55.1.4 GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openAcceso abierto editor

Otras publicaciones en: Kinesiology

Objetivos de desarrollo sostenible

Resumen

Women’s football is currently a phenomenon in expansion, both in the number of practitioners andfederative records. Scientific research must be at the forefront of this growth, proposing solutions withempirical support that help improve performance not only during training but also during competition. Theobjective of this study was to propose a multivariate model based on the decision tree technique, with theaim of classifying and predicting the criteria that modulated the attack depending on the part of the match(first or second part). To do this, 6063 attacks from the two most recent world championships have beencollected and analysed. The available results indicate that, although more attacks occur during the firstpart, it is in the second part when the goals are scored. In addition, the presented model confirms that themost successful attacks (goal, shot or sending to the area) occur with the score winning or losing, and witha duration of less than 20 seconds. The results of this study can help female soccer coaches to improve thetraining process of offensive actions and attack.

Referencias bibliográficas

  • Anguera, M.T. (1979). Observational typology. Quality and Quantity, 13(6), 449-484.
  • Anguera, M. T. y Hernández-Mendo, A. (2016). Avances en estudios observacionales en Ciencias del Deporte desde los mixed methods [Advances in observational studies in Sports Sciences from the mixed methods]. Cuadernos de Psicología del Deporte, 16(1), 17-30.
  • Anguera, M.T., Blanco-Villaseñor, A., Hernández-Mendo, A., & Losada, J.L. (2011). Diseños observacionales: ajuste y aplicación en psicología del Deporte. [Observational designs: Adjustment and application in sport psychology.] Cuadernos de Psicología del Deporte, 11(2), 63-76.
  • Anguera, M.T., Blanco-Villaseñor, A., Losada, J.L., & Sánchez-Algarra, P. (1999). Análisis de la competencia en la selección de observadores. [Analysis of the competition in the selection of observers.] Metodología de las Ciencias del Comportamiento, 1(1), 95-114.
  • Anguera, M.T., Camerino, O., Castañer, M., & Sánchez-Algarra, P. (2014). Mixed methods en la investigación de la actividad física y el deporte. [Mixed methods in physical activity and sport research.] Revista de Psicología del Deporte, 23(1), 123-130.
  • Anguera, M.T., Magnusson, M.S., & Jonsson, G.K. (2007). Instrumentos no estándar. [Non-standard instruments.] Avances en Medición, 5(1), 63-82.
  • Bakeman, R. (1978). Untangling streams of behavior: Sequential analysis of observation data. In G.P. Sackett (Ed.), Observing behaviour, Vol. II: Data collection and analysis methods (pp. 63-78). University Park Press.
  • Beare, H., & Stone, J.A. (2019). Analysis of attacking corner kick strategies in the FA women’s super league 2017/2018. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 19(6), 893-903. doi: 10.1080/24748668.2019.1677329
  • Borms, J. (2008). Directory of sport science: A journey through time: the changing face of ICSSPE. Human Kinetics.
  • Casanova, N.R., Travassos, B.R., Ferreira, S.S., Garrido, N.D., & Costa, A.M. (2020). Concentration of salivary cortisol and testosterone in elite women football players: Analysis of performance in official matches. Kinesiology, 52(1), 1-9. doi: 10.26582/k.52.1.1
  • Maneiro, R. et al.: PROPOSAL OF A PREDICTIVE MODEL FOR THE ATTACK IN... Kinesiology 55(2023)1:30-37 36
  • Castañer, B.M., Camerino, F.O., & Anguera, A.M.T. (2013). Mixed methods in the research of sciences of physical activity and sport. Apunts. Educació Física i Esports, 2013(112), 31-36.
  • de Jong, L.M., Gastin, P.B., Angelova, M., Bruce, L., & Dwyer, D.B. (2020). Technical determinants of success in professional women’s soccer: A wider range of 248 variables reveals new insights. PloS One, 15(10), 249. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240992
  • Fernández-Navarro, J., Fradua, L., Zubillaga, A., & McRobert, A.P. (2018). Influence of contextual variables on styles of play in soccer. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 18, 423-436. doi: 10.1080/24748668.2018.1479925
  • Fleiss, J.L., Levin, B., & Paik, M.C. (2003). Statistical methods for rates and proportions, 3rd ed. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
  • Garganta, J. (1997). Modelaçao táctica do jogo de Futebol. Estudo da organizaçao da fase ofensiva em equipas de alto rendimiento. [Tactical Modeling of the Football Game. Study of the organization of the offensive phase in high performance teams] (Doctoral thesis, Universidad de Oporto)
  • Greve, H.R., Nesbø, J., Rudi, N., & Salikhov, M. (2020). Are goals scored just before halftime worth more? An old soccer wisdom statistically tested. PloS One, 15(10), e02404. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240438. eCollection 2020
  • Hernández-Mendo, A., Castellano, J., Camerino, O., Jonsson, G., Blanco-Villaseñor, A., Lopes, A., & Anguera, M.T. (2014). Programas informáticos de registro, control de calidad del dato, y análisis de datos. [Observational software, data quality and data análisis.] Revista de Psicología del Deporte, 23 (1), 111-121. Iván-Baragaño, I (2022). Análisis de la fase ofensiva en fútbol femenino: hacia una comprensión del proceso ofensivo desde el paradigma de métodos mixtos [Analysis of the offensive phase in women›s soccer: towards an understanding of the offensive process from the mixed methods paradigm ] (Doctoral thesis, Universidade da Coruña).
  • Iván-Baragaño, I., Maneiro, R., Losada, J.L., & Ardá, A. (2022a). Posesión de balón en fútbol femenino: el juego de las mejores selecciones. [Ball possession in women’ s football: The game of the best teams.] Retos, 44, 1155- 1161. doi: 10.47197/retos.v44i0.92584
  • Iván-Baragaño, I., Maneiro, R., Losada, J.L., & Ardá, A. (2022b). Tactical differences between winning and losing teams in elite women’s football. Apunts Educación Física y Deportes, 147, 45-54. doi: 10.5672/apunts.2014- 0983.es.(2022/1).147.0
  • Iván-Baragaño, I., Maneiro, R., Losada, J.L., & Ardá, A. (2021). Multivariate analysis of the offensive phase in highperformance women’s soccer: A mixed methods study. Sustainability, 13, 6379. doi: 10.3390/su13116379
  • Kirkendall, D.T. (2007). Issues in training the female player. British Journal of Sports Medicine, 41, 64–67. doi: 10.1136/bjsm.2007.036970
  • Kirkendall, D.T., & Krustrup, P. (2022). Studying professional and recreational female footballers: A bibliometric exercise. Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and Science in Sports, 32, 12-26. https://doi.org/10.1111/sms.14019
  • Krustrup, P., Mohr, M., Ellingsgaard, H.E.L.G.A., & Bangsbo, J. (2005). Physical demands during an elite female soccer game: Importance of training status. Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise, 37(7), 1242.
  • Lago, I., Lago-Peñas, S., & Lago-Peñas, C. (2022). Waiting or acting? The gender gap in international football success. International Review for the Sociology of Sport, 57(7), 1139-1156. doi: 10.1177/10126902211060727
  • Lee, J., & Mills, S. (2021). Analysis of corner kicks at the FIFA Women’s World Cup 2019 in relation to match status and team quality. International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 21(5), 679-699. doi: 10.1080/24748668.2021.1936408
  • Maneiro, R., Casal, C.A., Ardá, A., & Losada, J.L. (2019). Application of multivariant decision tree technique in high performance football: The female and male corner kick. PloS One, 14(3), e0212549. doi: 10.1371/journal. pone.0212549
  • Maneiro, R., Losada, J.L., Casal, C.A., & Ardá, A. (2020). The influence of match status on ball possession in high performance women’s football. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 487. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.00487
  • Maneiro, R., Losada, J.L., Casal, C.A., & Ardá, A. (2021). Identification of explanatory variables in possession of the ball in high-performance women’s football. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(11), 5922. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18115922
  • Mara, J., Wheeler, K., & Lyons, K. (2012). Attacking strategies that lead to goal scoring opportunities in high level women’s football. International Journal of Sports Science and Coaching, 7(3), 565-577. doi: 10.1260/1747- 9541.7.3.565
  • Pic, M., Lavega-Burgués, P., & March-Llanes, J. (2019). Motor behaviour through traditional games. Educational Studies, 45, 742-755. doi: 10.1080/03055698.2018.1516630
  • Scanlan, M., Harms, C., Cochrane Wilkie, J., & Ma’ayah, F. (2020). The creation of goal scoring opportunities at the 2015 women’s World Cup. International Journal of Sports Science and Coaching, 15(5-6), 803-808. doi: 10.1177/17479541209420
  • Sgrò, F., Aiello, F., Casella, A., & Lipoma, M. (2017). The effects of match-playing aspects and situational variables on achieving score-box possessions in Euro 2012 Football Championship. Journal of Human Sport and Exercise, 12(1), 58-72. doi: 10.14198/jhse.2017.121.05
  • Soroka, A., & Bergier, J. (2010). Actions with the ball that determine the effectiveness of play in women’s football. Journal of Human Kinetics, 26(1), 97-104.
  • Soto, A., Camerino, O., Iglesias, X., Anguera, M.T., & Castañer, M. (2019). LINCE PLUS: Research software for behavior video analysis. Apunts. Educació física i esports, 3(137), 149-153. doi: 10.5672/apunts.2014-0983. es.(2019/3).137.11
  • Tenga, A., Holme, I., Ronglan, L.T., & Bahr, R. (2010b). Effect of playing tactics on goal scoring in Norwegian professional soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 28, 237-244. doi: 10.1080/02640410903502774
  • Williams, J., Pope, S., & Cleland, J. (2021). ‘Genuinely in love with the game’ football fan experiences and perceptions of women’s football in England. Sport in Society, published online ahead of print. doi: 10.1080/17430437.2021.2021509
  • y, published online ahead of print. doi: 10.1080/17430437.2021.2021509